{"id":2676,"date":"2026-02-18T20:34:20","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T20:34:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/?page_id=2676"},"modified":"2026-02-18T21:17:05","modified_gmt":"2026-02-18T21:17:05","slug":"cenarios-pos-covid-19-possiveis-impactos-sociais-e-economicos-no-brasil","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/en\/livros\/cenarios-pos-covid-19-possiveis-impactos-sociais-e-economicos-no-brasil\/","title":{"rendered":"Cen\u00e1rios p\u00f3s covid-19 &#8211; Poss\u00edveis impactos sociais e econ\u00f4micos no Brasil"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull\" style=\"min-height:1128px;aspect-ratio:unset;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1200\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-image-914\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/cropped-WhatsApp-Image-2022-10-03-at-17.08.19.jpeg\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/cropped-WhatsApp-Image-2022-10-03-at-17.08.19.jpeg 2000w, https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/cropped-WhatsApp-Image-2022-10-03-at-17.08.19-300x180.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/cropped-WhatsApp-Image-2022-10-03-at-17.08.19-1024x614.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/cropped-WhatsApp-Image-2022-10-03-at-17.08.19-768x461.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/cropped-WhatsApp-Image-2022-10-03-at-17.08.19-1536x922.jpeg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-black-background-color has-background-dim\"><\/span><div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-cover-is-layout-constrained\">\n<div class=\"guten-element guten-spacer guten-ywxH7n\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"511\" height=\"770\" src=\"https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Captura-de-tela_18-2-2026_155545_.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2649\" style=\"aspect-ratio:0.6890490124407002;width:377px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Captura-de-tela_18-2-2026_155545_.jpeg 511w, https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Captura-de-tela_18-2-2026_155545_-199x300.jpeg 199w, https:\/\/socialport.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/Captura-de-tela_18-2-2026_155545_-8x12.jpeg 8w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 511px) 100vw, 511px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:100%\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left\" style=\"font-size:16px\">A obra &#8220;Cen\u00e1rios P\u00f3s-Covid-19: Poss\u00edveis impactos sociais e econ\u00f4micos no Brasil&#8221;, publicada em 2020 pelo Grupo de Pesquisa e Estudos Prospectivos (NEP-Mackenzie) da Faculdade Presbiteriana Mackenzie Bras\u00edlia. O livro \u00e9 fruto de um esfor\u00e7o colaborativo coordenado pela Profa. Dra. Elaine Marcial, socia da SocialPort, envolvendo 390 peritos de diversas \u00e1reas. O objetivo central foi construir cen\u00e1rios, em um horizonte de curto prazo (2020-2022), de como o Brasil lidaria com os desafios sist\u00eamicos impostos pela pandemia. A obra utiliza a metodologia de minicen\u00e1rios, elaborada pela Dra. Elaine Marcial, que permite uma constru\u00e7\u00e3o r\u00e1pida e tecnicamente consistente de alternativas de futuro para apoiar a tomada de decis\u00e3o estrat\u00e9gica em ambientes disruptivos. A pesquisa identificou elementos fundamentais que moldariam os pr\u00f3ximos anos, resultando em quatro narrativas distintas para o Brasil em 2022. Oportunidade e amea\u00e7as tamb\u00e9m foram levantadas. A obra ressalta que o futuro do Brasil n\u00e3o \u00e9 predestinado, mas sim o resultado das escolhas feitas no presente. Os autores enfatizam a necessidade urgente de um pacto estrat\u00e9gico de longo prazo e de um sentido de uni\u00e3o nacional para evitar que o pa\u00eds perca o &#8220;bonde da hist\u00f3ria&#8221; e se recupere da crise de forma sustent\u00e1vel.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"forminator-guttenberg\"><div class=\"forminator-ui forminator-custom-form forminator-custom-form-2677 forminator-design--default  forminator_ajax\" data-forminator-render=\"0\" data-form=\"forminator-module-2677\" data-uid=\"69d9aa0faef03\"><br\/><\/div><form\n\t\t\t\tid=\"forminator-module-2677\"\n\t\t\t\tclass=\"forminator-ui forminator-custom-form forminator-custom-form-2677 forminator-design--default  forminator_ajax\"\n\t\t\t\tmethod=\"post\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-forminator-render=\"0\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-form-id=\"2677\"\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\tdata-design=\"default\"\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\tdata-grid=\"open\"\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\tstyle=\"display: none;\"\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\tdata-uid=\"69d9aa0faef03\" action=\"\"\n\t\t\t><div role=\"alert\" aria-live=\"polite\" class=\"forminator-response-message forminator-error\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/div><div class=\"forminator-row\"><div id=\"name-1\" class=\"forminator-field-name forminator-col forminator-col-12\"><div class=\"forminator-field\"><label for=\"forminator-field-name-1_69d9aa0faef03\" id=\"forminator-field-name-1_69d9aa0faef03-label\" class=\"forminator-label\">Primeiro Nome<\/label><input type=\"text\" name=\"name-1\" value=\"\" placeholder=\"E.x. 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