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Updating scenarios: A multi-layer framework for structurally incorporating new information and uncertainties into scenarios – Resenha crítica Autores: Paulien van den Berg, Daniel Scholten, Jonathan Schachter e Kornelis Blok. Fonte: Futures Referência: Van den Berg, P.; Scholten, D.; Schachter, J.; Blok, K. Updating scenarios: A multi-layer framework for structurally incorporating new information and uncertainties into …

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The role of constructivist learning in scenario planning – Resenha crítica Autores: T. J. Chermack e L. van der Merwe.  Fonte: Revista Futures Disponível em: http://eprints.mdx.ac.uk/18960/ Referência:  Chermack, T. J.; Van der Merwe, L. The role of constructivist learning in scenario planning. Futures, v. 35,. 5, p. 445-460, June,  2003. DOI: 10.1016/S0016-3287(02)00091-5 1            Objetivo …

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Scenarios and early warnings as dynamic capabilities to frame managerial attention – Resenha crítica Autores: Rafael Ramírez, Riku Österman e Daniel Grönquist.  Fonte: Technological Forecasting & Social Change Referência:  Ramírez, R.; Österman, R.; Grönquist, D. Scenarios and early warnings as dynamic capabilities to frame managerial attention. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, v. 80, n. 5, …

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The critical role of history in scenario thinking – Resenha crítica Autores: Ronald Bradfield, James Derbyshire e George Wright. Fonte: Revista Futures Disponível em: http://eprints.mdx.ac.uk/18960/ Referência:  Bradfield, R.; Derbyshire, J.; Wright, G. (2016) The critical role of history in scenario thinking: augmenting causal analysis within the intuitive logics scenario development methodology. Futures, v. 77, p. …

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The ontological foundation for studying the future – Resenha crítica Autores: Alan Clardy. Fonte: Foresight Referência: Clardy, A. The ontological foundation for studying the future. Foresight, 2020. DOI: 10.1108/FS-02-2020-0016. 1            Objetivo da pesquisa Esta pesquisa tem como objetivo desenvolver uma base ontológica para os “estudos de futuros” (futures studies). Alan Clardy parte de uma …

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Post-COVID-19 scenarios: A method for moments of crisis – Resenha crítica Autores: Elaine Coutinho Marcial, Eduardo Rodrigues Schneider, Marcello José Pio, Rodrigo Mendes Leal, Thomaz Fronzaglia e Márcio Gimene. Fonte: Futures Disponível em: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2022.102996 Referência: Marcial, E. C.; Schneider, E. R.; Pio, M. J.; Leal, R. M.; Fronzaglia, T.; Gimene, M. Post-COVID-19 scenarios: A method …

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Effects of scenario planning on participant mental models – Resenha crítica Autores: Margaret B. Glick, Thomas J. Chermack, Henry Luckel e Brian Q. Gauck Fonte: European Journal of Training and Development Referência:  Glick, M. B.; Chermack, T. J.; Luckel, H.; Gauck, B. Q. Effects of scenario planning on participant mental models. European Journal of Training …

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